Four Lane Resurfacing

Mahoning County · plans pulled by 4 GCs

Plan pull4 GCsAug 21

Pattern2 prime · 2 sub—

Bid dateThursday, October 1—

Who’s bidding this

2 primes + 2 subs pulled plans · Shelly & Sands INC wins 52% of OH pavement bids it enters

2primes hold plans today · revealed interest, not bids
2bidders typical · 2–3 range
±21%of the estimate — where the winning bid landed in 80% of OH pavement lettings
highband confidence · n=687 OH pavement lettings, 3yr

If your number lands…historical win odds, OH

10–20% under est50%
5–10% under43%
within 5%33%
5–10% over30%
10%+ over15%

Share of OH bids over the last 5 years that landed there vs the official estimate and won (n=9,164 bids) — historical frequency, not a forecast. ODOT's estimate stays sealed until bids open.

Pulled plans2 primes · 2 subs

Shelly & Sands INCprime52% · 116/224
Karvo Companies, INCprime22% · 29/132
Lake Erie Construction Companysubnew to this work
State Highway Supply INCsubnew to this work

Likely also biddingOH pavement regulars · 6

Shelly Company42% · 106/250
Kokosing Construction Company INC39% · 62/160
Ronyak Paving INC40% · 19/47
Barbicas Construction Company INC10% · 4/42
The Aero-Mark Company LLC48% · 27/56
Oglesby Construction INC

Confirmed = pulled plans on this letting (revealed interest, from the agency portal). Likely = firms that bid OH pavement work in the last 3 years, ranked by where and how recently they bid it — firms most active in this project’s county and ODOT district rank first. Win rate is historical — the share of bids that firm entered and won, not a prediction of this letting.

How to read this. Plan‑pull counts come straight from agency portals. Patterns and confidence scores are derived from comparable lettings (same county, same category, three‑year basis). Confidence is a calibration of past correctness on signals of this shape — not a guarantee of this bid’s outcome. We never round up. More on what Cassandri does →

201E11001	CLEARING AND GRUBBING, AS PER PLAN, AROUND BRIDGES/STRUCTURES/CULVERTS	Lump sum
202E23500	WEARING COURSE REMOVED (T = 4.5")	1,046 SY
407E13900	TACK COAT, 702.13	77 GAL
407E20000	NON-TRACKING TACK COAT	59 GAL
441E70100	ASPHALT CONCRETE SURFACE COURSE, TYPE 1, (449), PG70-22M	40 CY
441E70300	ASPHALT CONCRETE INTERMEDIATE COURSE, TYPE 2, (449)	80 CY
512E10100	SEALING OF CONCRETE SURFACES (EPOXY-URETHANE)	103 SY
512E33010	TYPE 3 WATERPROOFING	912 SY
512E74000	REMOVAL OF EXISTING COATINGS FROM CONCRETE SURFACES	93 SY
516E11211	STRUCTURAL EXPANSION JOINT INCLUDING ELASTOMERIC STRIP SEAL, AS PER PLAN	48 FT
516E45305	REFURBISH BEARING DEVICE, AS PER PLAN	8 EACH
516E47001	JACKING AND TEMPORARY SUPPORT OF SUPERSTRUCTURE, AS PER PLAN	Lump sum
518E12500	SCUPPER, MISC.: CLEANOUT	12 EACH
519E12304	PATCHING CONCRETE BRIDGE DECK - TYPE C	17 SY
530E00800	SPECIAL - STRUCTURES: CONCRETE SPALL REMOVAL WITH ZINC RICH PRIMER APPLIED	10 SY
843E50000	PATCHING CONCRETE STRUCTURES WITH TROWELABLE MORTAR	90 SF
201E11001	CLEARING AND GRUBBING, AS PER PLAN, AROUND BRIDGES/STRUCTURES/CULVERTS	Lump sum
202E23500	WEARING COURSE REMOVED (T = 4.5")	899 SY
407E13900	TACK COAT, 702.13	66 GAL
407E20000	NON-TRACKING TACK COAT	50 GAL
441E70100	ASPHALT CONCRETE SURFACE COURSE, TYPE 1, (449), PG70-22M	34 CY
441E70300	ASPHALT CONCRETE INTERMEDIATE COURSE, TYPE 2, (449)	68 CY
512E10100	SEALING OF CONCRETE SURFACES (EPOXY-URETHANE)	84 SY
512E33010	TYPE 3 WATERPROOFING	765 SY
512E74000	REMOVAL OF EXISTING COATINGS FROM CONCRETE SURFACES	84 SY
516E11211	STRUCTURAL EXPANSION JOINT INCLUDING ELASTOMERIC STRIP SEAL, AS PER PLAN	50 FT
516E45305	REFURBISH BEARING DEVICE, AS PER PLAN	8 EACH
516E47001	JACKING AND TEMPORARY SUPPORT OF SUPERSTRUCTURE, AS PER PLAN	Lump sum
518E12500	SCUPPER, MISC.: CLEANOUT	8 EACH
519E12304	PATCHING CONCRETE BRIDGE DECK - TYPE C	12 SY
201E11001	CLEARING AND GRUBBING, AS PER PLAN, AROUND BRIDGES/STRUCTURES/CULVERTS	Lump sum
202E11501	PORTIONS OF STRUCTURE REMOVED, AS PER PLAN (MAIN MEMBERS)	1 EACH
202E11501	PORTIONS OF STRUCTURE REMOVED, AS PER PLAN (SECONDARY MEMBERS)	2 EACH
512E10100	SEALING OF CONCRETE SURFACES (EPOXY-URETHANE)	14 SY
512E10600	CONCRETE REPAIR BY EPOXY INJECTION	25 FT
512E73500	TREATING CONCRETE BRIDGE DECKS WITH GRAVITY FED RESIN	961 SY
512E74500	REMOVAL OF EXISTING PAVEMENT MARKING	711 FT
513E10201	STRUCTURAL STEEL MEMBERS, LEVEL UF, AS PER PLAN	275 LB
513E95000	STRUCTURAL STEEL, MISC.: COMPLETE PENETRATION WELDING	11 FT
514E20001	FIELD PAINTING OF DAMAGED STRUCTURAL STEEL, AS PER PLAN (SINGLE COAT)	17 SF
514E20001	FIELD PAINTING OF DAMAGED STRUCTURAL STEEL, AS PER PLAN (THREE COAT)	124 SF
516E45305	REFURBISH BEARING DEVICE, AS PER PLAN	10 EACH
516E47001	JACKING AND TEMPORARY SUPPORT OF SUPERSTRUCTURE, AS PER PLAN	Lump sum
516E47001	JACKING AND TEMPORARY SUPPORT OF SUPERSTRUCTURE, AS PER PLAN (COLLISION REPAIR)	Lump sum
519E00100	SPECIAL - COMPOSITE FIBER WRAP SYSTEM	140 SF
519E11101	PATCHING CONCRETE STRUCTURE, AS PER PLAN	125 SF
844E20000	GALVANIC ANODE PROTECTION	54 EACH
849E10000	DAMAGE ASSESSMENT	Lump sum
849E10500	SURFACE PREPARATION	Lump sum
849E10600	REPAIRING DAMAGED MEMBERS BY GRINDING	2 HOUR
849E10700	STRAIGHTENING DAMAGED MEMBERS	Lump sum
201E11001	CLEARING AND GRUBBING, AS PER PLAN, AROUND BRIDGES/STRUCTURES/CULVERTS	Lump sum
512E10100	SEALING OF CONCRETE SURFACES (EPOXY-URETHANE)	9 SY
512E73500	TREATING CONCRETE BRIDGE DECKS WITH GRAVITY FED RESIN	1,081 SY
512E74500	REMOVAL OF EXISTING PAVEMENT MARKING	747 FT
516E45305	REFURBISH BEARING DEVICE, AS PER PLAN	10 EACH
516E47001	JACKING AND TEMPORARY SUPPORT OF SUPERSTRUCTURE, AS PER PLAN	Lump sum
519E00100	SPECIAL - COMPOSITE FIBER WRAP SYSTEM	90 SF
519E11101	PATCHING CONCRETE STRUCTURE, AS PER PLAN	75 SF
844E20000	GALVANIC ANODE PROTECTION	33 EACH
201E11001	CLEARING AND GRUBBING, AS PER PLAN, AROUND BRIDGES/STRUCTURES/CULVERTS	Lump sum
512E73500	TREATING CONCRETE BRIDGE DECKS WITH GRAVITY FED RESIN	776 SY
512E74500	REMOVAL OF EXISTING PAVEMENT MARKING	536 FT
516E10010	ARMORLESS PREFORMED JOINT SEAL	92 FT
201E11001	CLEARING AND GRUBBING, AS PER PLAN, AROUND BRIDGES/STRUCTURES/CULVERTS	Lump sum
512E73500	TREATING CONCRETE BRIDGE DECKS WITH GRAVITY FED RESIN	776 SY
512E74500	REMOVAL OF EXISTING PAVEMENT MARKING	536 FT
516E10010	ARMORLESS PREFORMED JOINT SEAL	92 FT
201E11001	CLEARING AND GRUBBING, AS PER PLAN, AROUND BRIDGES/STRUCTURES/CULVERTS	Lump sum
254E01000	PAVEMENT PLANING, ASPHALT CONCRETE (T = 3")	134 SY
301E56000	ASPHALT CONCRETE BASE, PG64-22, (449)	14 CY
304E20000	AGGREGATE BASE	12 CY
407E13900	TACK COAT, 702.13	4 GAL
407E20000	NON-TRACKING TACK COAT	26 GAL
441E70100	ASPHALT CONCRETE SURFACE COURSE, TYPE 1, (449), PG70-22M	20 CY
512E10100	SEALING OF CONCRETE SURFACES (EPOXY-URETHANE)	14 SY
512E73500	TREATING CONCRETE BRIDGE DECKS WITH GRAVITY FED RESIN	1,320 SY
512E74500	REMOVAL OF EXISTING PAVEMENT MARKING	1,017 FT
516E10010	ARMORLESS PREFORMED JOINT SEAL	70 FT
516E13900	2" PREFORMED EXPANSION JOINT FILLER	6 SF
516E31010	2" DEEP JOINT SEALER	70 FT
519E00100	SPECIAL - COMPOSITE FIBER WRAP SYSTEM	140 SF
519E11101	PATCHING CONCRETE STRUCTURE, AS PER PLAN	125 SF
526E90031	TYPE C INSTALLATION, AS PER PLAN	70 FT
609E24001	CURB, TYPE 4-A, AS PER PLAN	24 FT
844E20000	GALVANIC ANODE PROTECTION	54 EACH
201E11001	CLEARING AND GRUBBING, AS PER PLAN, AROUND BRIDGES/STRUCTURES/CULVERTS	Lump sum
202E23500	WEARING COURSE REMOVED (T = 4.5")	1,042 SY
407E13900	TACK COAT, 702.13	77 GAL
407E20000	NON-TRACKING TACK COAT	58 GAL
441E70100	ASPHALT CONCRETE SURFACE COURSE, TYPE 1, (449), PG70-22M	41 CY
441E70300	ASPHALT CONCRETE INTERMEDIATE COURSE, TYPE 2, (449)	80 CY
512E10100	SEALING OF CONCRETE SURFACES (EPOXY-URETHANE)	119 SY
512E33010	TYPE 3 WATERPROOFING	886 SY
512E74000	REMOVAL OF EXISTING COATINGS FROM CONCRETE SURFACES	88 SY
516E11211	STRUCTURAL EXPANSION JOINT INCLUDING ELASTOMERIC STRIP SEAL, AS PER PLAN	58 FT
516E45305	REFURBISH BEARING DEVICE, AS PER PLAN	8 EACH
516E47001	JACKING AND TEMPORARY SUPPORT OF SUPERSTRUCTURE, AS PER PLAN	Lump sum
518E12500	SCUPPER, MISC.: CLEANOUT	10 EACH
519E00100	SPECIAL - COMPOSITE FIBER WRAP SYSTEM	110 SF
519E11101	PATCHING CONCRETE STRUCTURE, AS PER PLAN	200 SF
519E11720	SPECIAL - PATCHING CONCRETE STRUCTURE: CURB REPAIR	50 FT
519E12304	PATCHING CONCRETE BRIDGE DECK - TYPE C	27 SY
530E00800	SPECIAL - STRUCTURES: CONCRETE SPALL REMOVAL WITH ZINC RICH PRIMER APPLIED	25 SY
843E50000	PATCHING CONCRETE STRUCTURES WITH TROWELABLE MORTAR	225 SF
844E20000	GALVANIC ANODE PROTECTION	86 EACH
201E11001	CLEARING AND GRUBBING, AS PER PLAN, AROUND BRIDGES/STRUCTURES/CULVERTS	Lump sum
512E10100	SEALING OF CONCRETE SURFACES (EPOXY-URETHANE)	243 SY
512E73500	TREATING CONCRETE BRIDGE DECKS WITH GRAVITY FED RESIN	894 SY
512E74000	REMOVAL OF EXISTING COATINGS FROM CONCRETE SURFACES	243 SY
512E74500	REMOVAL OF EXISTING PAVEMENT MARKING	791 FT
201E11001	CLEARING AND GRUBBING, AS PER PLAN, AROUND BRIDGES/STRUCTURES/CULVERTS	Lump sum
512E10100	SEALING OF CONCRETE SURFACES (EPOXY-URETHANE)	243 SY
512E73500	TREATING CONCRETE BRIDGE DECKS WITH GRAVITY FED RESIN	887 SY
512E74000	REMOVAL OF EXISTING COATINGS FROM CONCRETE SURFACES	243 SY
512E74500	REMOVAL OF EXISTING PAVEMENT MARKING	785 FT
201E11001	CLEARING AND GRUBBING, AS PER PLAN, AROUND BRIDGES/STRUCTURES/CULVERTS	Lump sum
512E10100	SEALING OF CONCRETE SURFACES (EPOXY-URETHANE)	6 SY
512E73500	TREATING CONCRETE BRIDGE DECKS WITH GRAVITY FED RESIN	1,295 SY
512E74500	REMOVAL OF EXISTING PAVEMENT MARKING	998 FT
519E11101	PATCHING CONCRETE STRUCTURE, AS PER PLAN	50 SF
844E20000	GALVANIC ANODE PROTECTION	22 EACH

621E00100	RPM	173 EACH
621E00101	RPM, AS PER PLAN	1,120 EACH
621E54000	RAISED PAVEMENT MARKER REMOVED	1,036 EACH
626E00102	BARRIER REFLECTOR, TYPE 1 (ONE-WAY)	80 EACH
626E00110	BARRIER REFLECTOR, TYPE 2 (ONE-WAY)	280 EACH
630E02100	GROUND MOUNTED SUPPORT, NO. 2 POST	487 FT
630E80100	SIGN, FLAT SHEET	96 SF
630E80100	SIGN, FLAT SHEET, 730.20	40 SF
630E84900	REMOVAL OF GROUND MOUNTED SIGN	62 EACH
630E86002	REMOVAL OF GROUND MOUNTED POST SUPPORT	50 EACH
646E10000	EDGE LINE, 4"	0.61 MILE
646E10200	CENTER LINE	0.34 MILE
646E10400	STOP LINE	117 FT
646E20320	WRONG WAY ARROW	4 EACH
807E10310	WET REFLECTIVE TRAFFIC PAINT, CHANNELIZING LINE, 12"

614E11110	LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICER WITH PATROL CAR FOR ASSISTANCE	150 HOUR
614E12420	DETOUR SIGNING	Lump sum
614E12460	WORK ZONE MARKING SIGN	10 EACH
614E13000	ASPHALT CONCRETE FOR MAINTAINING TRAFFIC	20 CY
614E18601	PORTABLE CHANGEABLE MESSAGE SIGN, AS PER PLAN	24 SNMT
614E20010	WORK ZONE LANE LINE, CLASS I, 6"	16.9 MILE
614E20560	WORK ZONE LANE LINE, CLASS III, 6", 642 PAINT	16.9 MILE
614E21000	WORK ZONE CENTER LINE, CLASS I	0.34 MILE
614E21550	WORK ZONE CENTER LINE, CLASS III, 642 PAINT	0.34 MILE
614E22350	WORK ZONE EDGE LINE, CLASS III, 4", 642 PAINT	0.61 MILE
614E22360	WORK ZONE EDGE LINE, CLASS III, 6", 642 PAINT	35.22 MILE
614E23010	WORK ZONE CHANNELIZING LINE, CLASS I, 12"	2,900 FT
614E23690	WORK ZONE CHANNELIZING LINE, CLASS III, 12", 642 PAINT	2,900 FT
614E24000

251E01000	PARTIAL DEPTH PAVEMENT REPAIR (441)	400 SY
253E01000	PAVEMENT REPAIR (T = 14")	500 SY
254E01600	PATCHING PLANED SURFACE	12,000 SY
304E20000	AGGREGATE BASE (FOR PAVEMENT REPAIR)	28 CY
407E20000	NON-TRACKING TACK COAT	36,431 GAL
408E10001	PRIME COAT, AS PER PLAN	16,318 GAL
424E14000	FINE GRADED POLYMER ASPHALT CONCRETE, TYPE B, (448)	11,245 CY
441E00100	ANTI-SEGREGATION EQUIPMENT	6,921 CY
617E10100	COMPACTED AGGREGATE	1,134 CY
618E40100	RUMBLE STRIPS, SHOULDER (ASPHALT CONCRETE)	176,142 FT
897E01010	PAVEMENT PLANING, ASPHALT CONCRETE, CLASS A (T = 0.75")	404,776 SY

202E98100	REMOVAL MISC.: BARRIER REFLECTOR	288 EACH
203E10000	EXCAVATION (FOR PAVEMENT REPAIR)	28 CY
209E60200	LINEAR GRADING	203 STA
690E91000	SPECIAL - AS-BUILT CONSTRUCTION PLANS	Lump sum
690E98000	SPECIAL - VERTICAL CLEARANCE	5 EACH

Four Lane Resurfacing

Who’s bidding this

Project scope

Bid items by category

103E05000	PREMIUM FOR CONTRACT PERFORMANCE BOND AND FOR PAYMENT BOND	Lump sum
614E11000	MAINTAINING TRAFFIC	Lump sum
623E10000	CONSTRUCTION LAYOUT STAKES AND SURVEYING	Lump sum
624E10000	MOBILIZATION	Lump sum

611E98630	CATCH BASIN ADJUSTED TO GRADE	5 EACH
611E99820	SPECIAL - MISCELLANEOUS METAL	400 LB